Sports bets can be very profitable if you know the tricks typically the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that wise money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great illustration. We analyzed the particular Western Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West California had the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , I actually also understood that there have been a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This online game has all the symptoms of being one regarding the very best games involving the year, using equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming back again from becoming down large in the 4th 1 fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.
So what’s the game search like this year?
In the event this activity were turning into played on the simple field, West California would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.
These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular additional added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like very much, but in a close up match-up this way, that spare point could make the difference between some sort of push and a loss.
But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home video games.
Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since January 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for each game in your house, while hitting only quitting 15. 7 points each game in home. In case an individual did not do the mathematics, that means since his or her last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their competitors simply by about 34 details per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, by way of 13 items per sport at home since the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Nearly all of those stats were established during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. k-oddsportal.com/betend are yet to acquired recent games through which they also have only scored 35, 23, 24 points. And these online games weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. These people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The end result is the fact that this is still a close sport to phone. Nevertheless the things i look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this specific game and definitely not guess at all. There happen to be better activities this end of the week with more simple positive aspects.
The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for some sort of TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big that they can could very well still win right after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific match, people serious about gambling saved money these people can offer better work with on upcoming games.